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Health economics report · June 2025

The Societal Impact of Weight Loss

United Arab Emirates

Obesity is one of the defining public health challenges of our time, with the global rate expected to reach 18% by 2031, and the UAE historically running above the global average. This report models three scenarios, status quo, moderate action and accelerated intervention, to quantify what tackling obesity would mean for the country through 2031.

The Societal Impact of Weight Loss: United Arab Emirates
1.2M
people out of obesity (accelerated scenario)
32% → 18%
fall in obesity prevalence
+$51B
additional GDP by 2031
6.8 yrs
added healthy life per person

Beneath the surface: five dimensions of impact

Under an accelerated intervention scenario, the benefits of tackling obesity extend far beyond healthcare, compounding across the economy and society.

Health

Up to 6.8 additional years of healthy life per person, and around $1.5 billion in healthcare resources freed up.

Economy

An additional $51 billion in GDP and $2.1 billion in annual VAT receipts by 2031.

Society

More than 11,000 additional workforce participants and over 75,000 additional births through reduced infertility.

Education

Around 2,000 additional bachelor’s degree enrolments and improved completion rates.

Security

A 10% increase in service-ready military and police candidates.

Explore the full analysis

The complete report details the methodology, scenarios and data behind these projections.

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